It's Friday! Here is today's ABC Bracketology.
ABC Bracketology - 02/07/2020
-Business is booming for: Arizona, Cincinnati
-Dreams are crumbling for: Wichita St., USC, Stanford, Tulsa
Bubble Watch
-Last 4 byes: Michigan, Indiana, Xavier, Minnesota
-Last 4 in: Virginia, USC, Mississippi St., Memphis
-First 4 out: VCU, Oklahoma, Stanford, Utah St.
-Next 4 out: Arizona St., Texas, NC St., Georgetown
(Side-note: Cincinnati is somehow comfortably in the field at a 9-seed, according to the ABC. I would not feel this way personally, but the composite is convinced that the Bearcats are legit.)
-The committee is revealing their top 16 overall seeds (if the season ended today) tomorrow. Let's look at what the ABC would predict for tomorrow, barring any upsets.
1 seeds: Kansas, Baylor, Duke, San Diego St.
2 seeds: Louisville, Gonzaga, Maryland, West Virginia
3 seeds: Dayton, Florida St., Seton Hall, Auburn
4 seeds: Villanova, Arizona, Butler, Penn St.
Now this seems like a valid prediction from the composite. Personally, I would expect a few things from tomorrow's reveal:
-The 1 seeds almost assuredly will be Baylor, Kansas, San Diego St., and Gonzaga, and probably in that order. The composite has 3 of these teams on the 1-line.
-The top 12 teams in the composite will probably make up all of the 1, 2, and 3 seeds. There seems to be a numeric tier break after the top 12 in the ABC, and I subjectively agree with it.
-I expect Dayton and Maryland to swap seed lines, personally.
-Arizona seems like a misfit as a 4-seed. I doubt we will see the Wildcats in the top 16 tomorrow. I'd expect to see Oregon or Michigan St. instead.
-My own personal prediction:
1 seeds: Baylor, Kansas, San Diego St., Gonzaga
2 seeds: Duke, Louisville, Dayton, West Virginia
3 seeds: Maryland, Seton Hall, Florida St., Auburn
4 seeds: Butler, Villanova, Penn St., Oregon
-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings.
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