Friday, February 28, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/28/2020

Happy Friday! Sorry I couldn't get a bracket out last night. Here is today's edition!

ABC Bracketology - 02/28/2020

-Business is booming for: Wisconsin, Purdue, USC
-Dreams are crumbling for: Arizona, Michigan, Colorado, Indiana, Arizona St.

Bubble Watch:
-Last 4 Byes: Arizona St., Oklahoma, Rhode Island, Utah St.
-Last 4 In: Rutgers, Purdue, Arkansas, USC
-First 4 Out: Stanford, Mississippi St., Providence, Richmond
-Next 4 Out: NC St., Alabama, Texas, Minnesota

-USC is back in with a win over Arizona; Purdue holds their spot with a win over the Hoosiers.

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings. The goal of this project is twofold: to show and emphasize where metrics would seed teams without any human bias, and to achieve a possible objective bracketology method that may eventually be comparable to that of a human bracketologist.

Thanks for stopping by! Check out Bracket Matrix for more bracketology!

Wednesday, February 26, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/26/2020

I hope this edition of bracketology finds you well. Here is the bracket!

ABC Bracketology - 02/26/2020

About today's bracket:
-Business is booming for: Florida St., Kentucky, Michigan St., Oklahoma, Mississippi St.

-Dreams are crumbling for: Duke, Louisville, West Virginia, Iowa, Texas Tech, NC St., Alabama

Bubble Watch
-Last 4 Byes: Cincinnati, Rhode Island, Oklahoma, Rutgers
-Last 4 In: Utah St., Purdue, Richmond, Arkansas
-First 4 Out: Mississippi St., Providence, USC, Stanford
-Next 4 Out: NC St., Alabama, Minnesota, Texas

-This is the first time all season I've agreed with the ABC's 1-seeds, probably due to Duke's loss.

-Expect Purdue to fall hard if they lose a couple more games here down the stretch. I'd definitely have Providence or USC in over them at the moment.

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings. The goal of this project is twofold: first, to show and emphasize where metrics would seed teams without any human bias, and second, to achieve a possible objective method of bracketology that may eventually be comparable to that of a human bracketologist.

Thanks for visiting! Check out Bracket Matrix for more great bracketology!

Tuesday, February 25, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/25/2020

Happy Mardi Gras Tuesday. Here is today's bracket.

ABC Bracketology - 02/25/2020

-There wasn't much action yesterday, so I'll include a full recap tomorrow.

-Purdue still being in is just classic ABC.

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings.

-Thanks for visiting! Check out Bracket Matrix for more great bracketology!

Monday, February 24, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/24/2020

Surprise; I am actual able to post a bracket this Monday! Now that March is approaching, I thought I should try my very best to post a bracket daily. Here it is!

ABC Bracketology - 02/24/2020

About today's bracket:
-Business is booming for: Creighton, Ohio St., Wisconsin, Indiana, Cincinnati

-Dreams are crumbling for: Maryland, Penn St., Butler, Wichita St., Rutgers

Bubble Watch:
-Last 4 Byes: Cincinnati, Xavier, Rutgers, Utah St.
-Last 4 In: Oklahoma, NC St., Richmond, Arkansas
-First 4 Out: Purdue, Providence, USC, Alabama
-Next 4 Out: Stanford, Minnesota, Mississippi St., Memphis

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings. The goal of this project is twofold: to show and emphasize where metrics would seed teams without any human bias, and to achieve a possible objective bracketology method that may eventually be comparable to that of a human bracketologist.

Thanks for visiting! Please check out Bracket Matrix for more bracketology!

Sunday, February 23, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/23/2020

What a great weekend of college basketball, which included 2 of the ABC's 1-seeds losing! Here is today's bracket.

ABC Bracketology - 02/23/2020

About the bracket:
-Business is booming for: Kansas, Florida St., Villanova, Oregon, BYU, Michigan, Providence, Arkansas

-Dreams are crumbling for: Baylor, San Diego St., Gonzaga, West Virginia, Arizona, Colorado, Marquette, Houston, Florida, Xavier, Purdue, Oklahoma, Georgetown

Bubble Watch
-Last 4 Byes: Indiana, Xavier, Utah St., Cincinnati
-Last 4 In: USC, NC St., Richmond, Oklahoma
-First 4 Out: Arkansas, Purdue, Providence, Alabama
-Next 4 Out: Mississippi St., Stanford, Minnesota, Memphis

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinion in any way. It is a formula that ranks teams based on a composite of rankings.

Thanks for visiting! Check out Bracket Matrix for more bracketology!

Friday, February 21, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/21/2020

Happy Friday! Here is today's bracketology.

ABC Bracketology - 02/21/2020

About today's bracket:
-Business is booming for: Colorado, Iowa, Arizona St., Stanford

-Dreams are crumbling for: Oregon, Ohio St., USC

Bubble Watch
-Last 4 Byes: Rutgers, Oklahoma, Indiana, Purdue
-Last 4 In: Utah St., NC St., Cincinnati, Richmond
-First 4 Out: USC, Mississippi St., Arkansas, Georgetown
-Next 4 Out: Providence, VCU, Minnesota, Stanford

-Because there were three Big Ten teams on the 6-line and two on the 11-line, Indiana was moved up to a 10-seed and Oklahoma down to an 11-seed in order to avoid conference rematches, according to NCAA bracket rules.

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings.

Thanks for visiting! Check out Bracket Matrix for more great bracketology!

Thursday, February 20, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/20/2020

Happy Thursday! Here is today's bracketology.

ABC Bracketology - 02/20/2020

About today's bracket:
-Business is booming for: Indiana, Michigan, NC St., Providence

-Dreams are crumbling for: Duke, Auburn, Butler, Rutgers, Cincinnati, Alabama, Minnesota

-Bubble Watch
-Last 4 Byes: Oklahoma, Indiana, Purdue, Arizona St.
-Last 4 In: Utah St., NC St., Cincinnati, USC
-First 4 Out: Richmond, Mississippi St., Arkansas, Georgetown
-Next 4 Out: Providence, Minnesota, VCU, UNC-Greensboro

-I am starting to get upset that Gonzaga is STILL a 2-seed, even after Duke's embarrassing loss to NC St. What on earth do they have to do in order for KPI and RPI to rate them fairly? I'll be seeking ways to improve the algorithm over the offseason, and dealing with outliers that seem to unfairly destroy teams (like Gonzaga) might be part of this process.

-I'm surprised Cincinnati is still in after losing at home to UCF. They have more ugly losses than just this one, too.

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings. Thanks for visiting!

Check out Bracket Matrix for more great bracketology!

Wednesday, February 19, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/19/2020

Happy Wednesday! Here is today's bracketology.

ABC Bracketology - 02/19/2020

Business is booming for: Creighton, Kentucky, Illinois, Wisconsin

Dreams are crumbling for: Penn St., Marquette, LSU, Purdue, VCU

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings.

Thanks for visiting! Check out Bracket Matrix for more bracketology!

Tuesday, February 18, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/18/2020


Hello! Sorry for the wait; I was on a trip this weekend.

ABC Bracketology - 02/18/2020

Business is booming for: Maryland, Florida St., Creighton, Ohio St., Michigan, Rutgers, Xavier, Cincinnati, Utah St., Georgetown, Richmond, UNC-Greensboro

Dreams are crumbling for: Louisville, Auburn, Michigan St., Butler, LSU, Illinois, Purdue, UNI, Indiana, Minnesota, Arkansas, VCU, Memphis

Bubble Watch
Last 4 Byes: Illinois, Purdue, Virginia, Utah St.
Last 4 In: Arizona St., USC, Georgetown, Richmond
First 4 Out: Indiana, Mississippi St., Minnesota, Alabama
Next 4 Out: Arkansas, NC St., VCU, UNC-Greensboro

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings. Thanks for visiting!

Check out Bracket Matrix for more great bracketology!

Friday, February 14, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/14/2020

Happy Valentine's Day! Here is the holiday's bracketology.

ABC Bracketology - 02/14/2020

Bubble Watch
-Last 4 Byes: Florida, Virginia, Xavier, Indiana
-Last 4 In: Minnesota, Arizona St., Arkansas, Utah St.
-First 4 Out: USC, NC St., VCU, Mississippi St.
-Next 4 Out: Richmond, Alabama, Georgetown, Memphis

Business is booming for: Indiana, Cincinnati, Oregon, Arizona St.

Dreams are crumbling for: Colorado, Iowa, Stanford, Memphis

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinion in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings.

Thanks for visiting! Check out Bracket Matrix for more fun bracketology!

Thursday, February 13, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/13/2020

I hope this edition of ABC Bracketology finds you well!

ABC Bracketology - 02/13/2020

Business is booming for: Maryland, Penn St., Creighton, Marquette, Texas Tech, Utah St., NC St.

Dreams are crumbling for: Louisville, West Virginia, Seton Hall, Oregon, LSU, Rutgers, VCU

-I thought I should mention how many Big Ten teams are on the 8 and 9 lines right now: FIVE. I had to move poor Rutgers to a 10 seed because of it. Absolutely crazy.

-The ABC is not influenced by my own opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings.

Thanks for visiting! Check out Bracket Matrix for more fun bracketology!

Wednesday, February 12, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/12/2020

Hi all! So very sorry for the wait; school is really starting to pick up.

ABC Bracketology - 02/12/2020

I will do risers/fallers tomorrow - lots for me to catch up on there.

Bubble Watch
-Last 4 Byes: Virginia, Wichita St., Minnesota, Oklahoma
-Last 4 In: Arkansas, Florida, USC, Utah St.
-First 4 Out: Indiana, Stanford, Arizona St., Mississippi St.
-Next 4 Out: NC St., Memphis, Alabama, Georgetown

-I did want to note how awesome a regional with Dayton, Ohio St., and Xavier in Cleveland would be. That would be epic.

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings.

Thanks for stopping by! Check out Bracket Matrix for more great bracketology!

Friday, February 7, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/07/2020

It's Friday! Here is today's ABC Bracketology.

ABC Bracketology - 02/07/2020

-Business is booming for: Arizona, Cincinnati

-Dreams are crumbling for: Wichita St., USC, Stanford, Tulsa

Bubble Watch
-Last 4 byes: Michigan, Indiana, Xavier, Minnesota
-Last 4 in: Virginia, USC, Mississippi St., Memphis
-First 4 out: VCU, Oklahoma, Stanford, Utah St.
-Next 4 out: Arizona St., Texas, NC St., Georgetown

(Side-note: Cincinnati is somehow comfortably in the field at a 9-seed, according to the ABC. I would not feel this way personally, but the composite is convinced that the Bearcats are legit.)

-The committee is revealing their top 16 overall seeds (if the season ended today) tomorrow. Let's look at what the ABC would predict for tomorrow, barring any upsets.

1 seeds: Kansas, Baylor, Duke, San Diego St.
2 seeds: Louisville, Gonzaga, Maryland, West Virginia
3 seeds: Dayton, Florida St., Seton Hall, Auburn
4 seeds: Villanova, Arizona, Butler, Penn St.

Now this seems like a valid prediction from the composite. Personally, I would expect a few things from tomorrow's reveal:

-The 1 seeds almost assuredly will be Baylor, Kansas, San Diego St., and Gonzaga, and probably in that order. The composite has 3 of these teams on the 1-line.

-The top 12 teams in the composite will probably make up all of the 1, 2, and 3 seeds. There seems to be a numeric tier break after the top 12 in the ABC, and I subjectively agree with it.

-I expect Dayton and Maryland to swap seed lines, personally.

-Arizona seems like a misfit as a 4-seed. I doubt we will see the Wildcats in the top 16 tomorrow. I'd expect to see Oregon or Michigan St. instead.

-My own personal prediction:

1 seeds: Baylor, Kansas, San Diego St., Gonzaga
2 seeds: Duke, Louisville, Dayton, West Virginia
3 seeds: Maryland, Seton Hall, Florida St., Auburn
4 seeds: Butler, Villanova, Penn St., Oregon


-The ABC is not influenced by my opinions in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings.

Thanks for visiting! Check out Bracket Matrix for more great bracketology!


Thursday, February 6, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/06/2020

Hi all, here is today's bracketology. Lots of crazy results yesterday!

ABC Bracketology - 02/06/2020

Business is booming for: Purdue, Minnesota, Butler

Dreams are crumbling for: Villanova, LSU (yikes), Creighton, Iowa, Wisconsin

-The weird 1-seed fluctuation continues. Gonzaga takes the last 1-seed because teams fell behind them in KPI and RPI with bad losses.

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinion in any way; it is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings.

Thanks for visiting! Check out Bracket Matrix for more great bracketology!

Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/05/2020

Happy Wednesday! Hope today's bracketology finds you well.

ABC Bracketology - 02/05/2020

Lots of movement in today's bracket! More about it:

-Business is booming for: Penn St., Auburn, Ohio St., Texas Tech, Xavier

-Dreams are crumbling for: Michigan St., Mississippi St., Oklahoma

-I'm not sure what the deal is with Dayton and the metrics. Less than a week ago they were a 1-seed; now, after 2 wins, they are a 3-seed. Although these wins were not super convincing and over weak competition, Dayton's fall in the ranks is still really strange.

-Bubble Watch: 
     -Last 4 Byes: Xavier, Cincinnati, USC, Mississippi St.
     -Last 4 in: Stanford, VCU, Virginia, Purdue
     -First 4 out: Memphis, Oklahoma, Minnesota, Georgetown
     -Next 4 out: Texas, Utah St., Arizona St., Richmond
     -Waiting in the wings: Alabama, Tennessee, Syracuse, Tulsa

The ABC is not influenced by my opinion in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings. Thanks for visiting!

As always, check out Bracket Matrix for more great bracketology!

Tuesday, February 4, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/04/2020

Happy Tuesday! Here is today's bracketology.

ABC Bracketology - 02/04/2020

About today's bracket:
Business is booming for:
          -Creighton: With an impressive road win over Villanova, the Jays move into a season-high 4-seed slot.
          -Auburn: Auburn got their statement victory over Kentucky this weekend. They move back to a 4-seed.
          -Others: Xavier, Wisconsin, Michigan, Mississippi St., Louisville, Cincinnati

Dreams are crumbling for:
          -Ranked Big East Teams playing at home: Villanova, Seton Hall, and Butler all lost winnable games at home this weekend.  While all these squads are likely safe in the tournament, it will impact their seeding and the conference race.
          -Wichita St.: The Shockers lost this weekend to a surging Tulsa team. They are now a 9-seed, and have to start being careful - a one or two more bad losses could send them to the bubble.
          -Others: Kentucky, Michigan St., Illinois, Minnesota, Rutgers

-I've found a way to automate KPI in the composite now, so I might be able to get these out more frequently.

-The ABC is not influenced by my opinion in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings. Thanks for visiting!

-Thanks to Bracket Matrix for including the ABC in their great composite of bracketologists!

Monday, February 3, 2020

Akey Bracket Composite - 02/03/2020

Here is today's bracketology. I'll elaborate when I have time :)

ABC Bracketology - 02/03/2020

The ABC is not influenced by my opinion in any way. It is a formula that seeds teams based on a composite of rankings. Thanks for visiting!